A statistical review of the US Ski & Snowboard Moguls National Ranking List (MNRL), and the case for the ranking-methodology changes adopted for the 2026–27 season.
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This site reflects the 2025–26 season.
The analysis here was prepared during the 2025–26 season, and a revised ranking methodology was subsequently approved by the Moguls Subcommittee for the 2026–27 season. The data, findings, and proposals remain available for reference, but they describe the prior methodology rather than the current one.
The Moguls National Ranking List determines which athletes qualify for Junior Nationals and Nationals. Under the 2025–26 methodology, national points at each divisional event were anchored to fixed podium values and to the third-place score, so the depth of a division's field directly shaped how many points its athletes could earn.
This project set out to measure that effect. Using head-to-head results from Selections, Nationals, and cross-divisional travel as ground truth, it tested whether athletes from larger, deeper divisions were systematically under-ranked relative to athletes from smaller divisions, and quantified how many Nationals invitations shifted as a result.
The findings were presented to the Moguls Subcommittee and informed the ranking-methodology changes approved for the 2026–27 season.
Divisional depth summaries, Nationals and Selections results compared against MNRL rank, and how Rocky Mountain athletes fared when traveling to other divisions.
Statistical tests of whether a division's athletes finished better or worse at Nationals than their MNRL rank predicted, with a downloadable presentation deck.
Alternative point formulas, quota and divisional-allocation models, divisional MNRLs, and side-by-side comparisons of who would have been invited under each.
NorAm results and their impact on divisional rankings, regional comparisons, and full historical event results with athlete-level score detail.
Need a refresher on how the 2025–26 MNRL points, podium values, and ranking rules worked?
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